MJ

Baskonia just changed too much players to be very strong for first ACB game. Probably most important, they lost Hanga to the same Barcelona.
Barcelona will be much tougher this year, they kicked out Rice, which is the first good sign.

[...]

It will be battle till the last minutes anyways, many fouls in the end to be expected. Both teams play fast pace, would be correct total without fouling in the end. But I see this very hardly ending without long 4th Q. Joventut with 3 new players, it's close to impossible to build chemistry on defense in few days.

I see this as close to 50-50, as it is possible. Both had good games yesterday, Valencia beating Unicaja almost in 1Q alone and Gran Canaria beating Real in convincing fashion.
Still I think Gran Canaria wants it more and that will count in the end, as home advantage should help to win despite slight talent disadvantage.
Standart medium bet.

1. Slovenia will play like home, report from arena.
2. Slovenia had much harder opponents and are better prepared for this final.
3. Jovic health is still very questionable despite being available to play.

Stake is lowered because exactly this bet can only be found at smaller bookies. If you are not blocked yet, it's worth 8/10. Much have already been said about this game, +5 HT is too good to miss. It is closer than bookies want public to believe. Correct handicap +2.5/+3 in my eyes and I doubt more than +4 for HT will be left before the game anywhere.

This will not be such a close game. Even with all the losses, Serbia is just better. Better individually and much better as a team. They played the whole preparations with more or less this team and they have equally good substitutes for missing players.
Russia seems decent, but yesterday handled the ball just terrible and complained about the ball itself in the press conference. I expect Serbia to destroy russians on points off turnovers.

Shved is very good on one end and terrible on the other. Bogdanovic will contain him on defense, but it will be very bad for russians on the other end. Not to forget that Bogdanovic plays on his "home court" in Fener arena and his first game was not a fluke.

Also Serbia has 4+ hours more to rest and prepare for this game. 

They had a friendly which ended 85-75 for Serbia, which doesn't say much, but is closer to what the line should look like.
Best offer on 1xbet at -6.

Not much time till the game - he has to score for Romania to have at least some chances. Home, most stable scorer/player of the team.

Basically the same situation as with Kalnietis - but if D-Mo does not play, even more minutes and FG will go to Kuzminskas. He made a great progress from last championship and will be one of the PPG leaders for Lithuania this year.

It will be a hard battle for lithuanians and all the leaders will play major minutes. Kalnietis is basically the only PG in Baltic team and will have to score, even more if D-Mo misses the game. Total at least 2 points too low.

Ok, Koponen had slight injury, but he is good now and he is still the most capable Finnish player. And he didn't score in double digits 5 times out of 47 playing for national team since 2012. High scoring game to be expected. That said total is complete nonsense and big value at anything above 1.5

Stake is not realistic for some due to low limits, but it's available and up for grabs. So if you can take it, it's 10/10.

It would be a standart total for Lukashov - he is a very limited player, but on this Ukraine team he just have to score some. But my bet is he will much more pass today, as Germany has a pretty weak defense frontline and the plan should be to give as much balls to the paint as possible. Another thing - he will be against one of the bigger stars of the tournament Dennis Schroder, who will make him work as a horse on the defensive end. Schroder is also a very capable defender and just another level player overall. Quick fouls should also be taken into account. Even playing at home, I see Lukashov scoring 4-8 points, making right total about 6.5 in this case.

Pau is getting older, but he's still a beast on European level. Things get much easier because of some big names missing the championship. In Eurobasket 2015 he had an average of 25.6 - that was 6 points higher than second in the list with same number of games. 

Biggest competition for Pau is Bogdan Bogdanovic, Dragic, Saric, Bojan Bogdanovic, De Colo and his own brother Marc. But most of them still have to reach semi-finals to be a real threat and for Spain it's close to a sure thing. I see him as a clear favourite and great value bet with @4.

Most times top scorer:
1st  4 Nikos Galis
2nd 3 Pau Gasol
And that is the reason I'm sure Marc and the whole team will help Pau to finish his Eurobasket run next to the legend Nikos Galis.

Since Italy lost Galinari they seem less interested and certainly less powerful. Israel on the other hand brings a really good team, they might be a "lesser name" in basketball and even now their roster is a bit below Italy's, but they are a better team. Standart 6/10 bet.

Nice odds on Slovenia. I wrote about Turkey before, so won't repeat myself much, but I just dont see them as a deep enough team to rival serious teams, even at home.

Let't take a look at worst case scenario. Slovenia finishes 3rd in group and that matches them Italy/Israel/Georgia - all teams are beatable and 1/8 finals is very probable anyways. Turkey finishes 2nd in group and that matches them with Croatia or Montenegro - both teams with enough talent. Turkey can win, but I don't see them going furher afterwards.

For group D I see two potential winners - it's either Latvia with Porzingis or Serbia with tons of talent, even without Teo. I just do not see Turkey finishing on top, even with their good results in last friendly games. My bet is latvian and serbian fans will support their teams to the level it can be easy to forget Turkey plays at home. Should be especially true with Serbia.

Main bet Latvia to win, taking Serbia to win, too - to cover.

Best odds on 1x, others have 1.7 and less.

For group D I see two potential winners - it's either Latvia with Porzingis or Serbia with tons of talent, even without Teo. I just do not see Turkey finishing on top, even with their good results in last friendly games. My bet is latvian and serbian fans will support their teams to the level it can be easy to forget Turkey plays at home. Should be especially true with Serbia.

Main bet Latvia to win, taking Serbia to win, too - to cover.

@13 Winnersport, sportingbet

Turkey
Players worth mentioning from the bench are Korkmaz, Aldemir and Mahmutoglu. 
Very mediocre team on paper looks even worse watching live. Dixon is a decent player, but has so much on his hands that it’s really easy to “read” their play. Frontline can defend, but not capable nor sufficiently involved into offence.

PG: Bobby Dixon 
SG: Sinan Güler 
SF: Cedi Osman
PF: Barış Hersek
C:  Semih Erden 

Russia
It is a bit hard to trust russians having in mind their results in past decade, but they bring a capable team to Turkey. Shved, Fridzon, Vorontsevich and Mozgov is a core that will give problems to most teams in the competition. Decent bench with brothers Kulagin, Semen Antonov - all CSKA players. This year team head coach is Sergei Bazarevich and I see it as an improvement, too.

PG: Dmitry Khvostov 
SG: Alexey Shved 
SF: Nikita Kurbanov
PF: Andrey Vorontsevich 
C: Timofey Mozgov

All in all, I pick Russia, as it is very close to 50/50 and big value with the odds @3.7 on 1xbet as of right now.

Value.

The first game of the 2017 Finals and the total for GSW is set to 117, which in my eyes is clearly too much. We could get into details, but for this particular bet explanation I will just use h2h history from 2015 to present - including regular season, where the intensity is much lower, only 2/20 games GSW went over with both games ending as blowouts. Don't see this repeating in Game 1.

17.01.17 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 126 : 91
25.12.16 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 109 : 108
20.06.16 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 89 : 93
17.06.16 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 115 : 101
14.06.16 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 97 : 112
11.06.16 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 97 : 108
09.06.16 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 120 : 90
06.06.16 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 110 : 77
03.06.16 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 104 : 89
19.01.16 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 98 : 132
26.12.15 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 89 : 83
11.07.15 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 75 : 83
17.06.15 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 97 : 105
15.06.15 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 104 : 91
12.06.15 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 82 : 103
10.06.15 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 96 : 91
08.06.15 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 93 : 95 (87 : 87)
05.06.15 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 108 : 100 (98 : 98)
27.02.15 Cleveland Cavaliers - Golden State Warriors 110 : 99
10.01.15 Golden State Warriors - Cleveland Cavaliers 112 : 94